Appendices
Appendix FM: Falsifiability Matrix
Compiled from
falsifiability_registry.json+verify_independent/results/scorecard.json.
FM.1 Purpose
This appendix consolidates every quantitative GCT claim that carries an explicit falsification threshold into a single machine-readable matrix. It extends App V (Prediction Registry) by row-by-row tying each prediction to (a) the verifier script that re-derives it from the engine, (b) the explicit threshold beyond which the claim is falsified, and (c) the scorecard status from the independent-verification suite.
The matrix is the manuscript's single source of truth for "is GCT still empirically consistent?" — a TENSION or FAIL row is a real signal, not a qualitative footnote.
FM.2 Summary
Aggregated by status pill (see FM.3 below for pill semantics):
| Pill | Count | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| ✓ DETECTED-TIGHT | 0 | App V Prediction row whose decisive empirical test has landed inside a tight band (band ≤ 1000 ppm) — strongest empirical evidence for GCT |
| ✓ DETECTED-MARGINAL | 0 | App V Prediction row whose decisive empirical test has landed inside a marginal band (band > 1000 ppm) — confirmatory but at lower-resolution |
| ✓ POSTDICTION-CONSISTENT | 10 | Settled-data postdictive alignment check; internal consistency only, not prospective detection evidence |
| ✓ CONSISTENT | 5 | Engine-internal agreement with a settled empirical anchor |
| ✓ ALGEBRAIC | 18 | Internal algebraic identity verified; empirical detection forward-looking or inconclusive |
| ✓ TIER-1 EXACT | 1 | Tier-1 algebraic identity at machine precision |
| ⚠ TENSION | 7 | Within the engine-internal enforcement contract but at 2σ-class disagreement or a non-falsifying disclosed tension |
| ⚠ AT-GATE TENSION | 1 | Row-specific tri-state tolerance band: above the pass edge but below the hard-fail edge |
| △ CURRENT-DATA-TENSION | 1 | DESI DR2 registered-menu closure-fail; Euclid DR1 reserved for future robustness check |
| ⚠ PENDING-α-RESOLUTION | 1 | Detection requires resolution of α-input ambiguity between Cs-α and Rb-α determinations; outcome locked when external α discord resolves. Does not count as detection evidence. |
| ⚠ TENSION UNDER WP2025 | 1 | The verifier reports the muon g-2 channel under the WP2025 lattice-dominant HVP synthesis: Tier 2 mechanism + Tier 3 1/5 coefficient + A3 + Tier 4 calibration-survival conjecture; Tension under WP2025; falsification conditional on long-term HVP-synthesis arbitration. The row is not "within tolerance" and is not load-bearing empirical evidence under the consolidated synthesis. |
| ⚠ EVALUATED-CLOSURE-FAILURE | 1 | Closed-form scan completed and the registered closure menu fails; this is distinct from observational TENSION. |
| ⚠ PROTECTED-SUBSPACE-REQUIRED | 2 | Bare-vs-renormalized frequency row where the verifier PASS is conditional on O.23 protected-subspace renormalization rather than direct bare-frequency agreement. |
| ✗ FAIL | 0 | Outside the registered falsification band or verifier-level failure against the engine-internal enforcement contract |
| ○ OPEN-RESEARCH | 2 | Claim catalogued under an Open Problem; verifier output is a candidate-ansatz reference rather than a live prediction |
| ○ OPEN-CONDITIONAL | 8 | Executable verifier/preregistration exists, but decisive external data have not landed |
| ○ PENDING-VERIFIER | 14 | No verifier script bound |
| TOTAL | 72 |
Reading-discipline note: POSTDICTION-CONSISTENT + CONSISTENT + ALGEBRAIC + TIER-1 EXACT pills indicate the manuscript is internally self-consistent on the row; they are not empirical confirmations of GCT. DETECTED-TIGHT / DETECTED-MARGINAL pills count as empirical evidence in favour of GCT only for rows labeled Prediction in App V whose decisive empirical test has landed. Postdiction rows use POSTDICTION-CONSISTENT and constitute alignment-check evidence, not prospective falsification-surviving detections. PENDING-α-RESOLUTION, AT-GATE TENSION, CURRENT-DATA-TENSION, OPEN-CONDITIONAL, PENDING-VERIFIER, and OPEN-RESEARCH do not count as in-favor detection evidence. FAIL counts against the framework. Currently the DETECTED total is 0 (0 TIGHT + 0 MARGINAL) out of 72 rows, reflecting that most of the GCT prediction set has its empirical-detection moment in long-horizon observational programmes. The POSTDICTION-CONSISTENT + CONSISTENT + ALGEBRAIC pills together quantify the manuscript's internal coherence, not its empirical confirmation.
Verifier status from the scorecard: ✓ No verifier-level falsification events.
FM.3 Status Pill Legend
To distinguish empirical detection from algebraic-internal consistency, the Status column uses the following pills. The Evidence Credibility column is normative for all App FM uses:
| Pill | Meaning | Evidence Credibility |
|---|---|---|
| ✓ DETECTED-TIGHT | App V row labeled Prediction; empirical experiment has run, returned data, and the prediction falls within a tight falsification band (≤1000 ppm). | Counts as in-favor empirical evidence for GCT. |
| ✓ DETECTED-MARGINAL | App V row labeled Prediction; empirical experiment has run, returned data, and the prediction falls within a marginal falsification band (>1000 ppm). | Counts as in-favor empirical evidence with an explicit lower-resolution caveat. |
| ✓ POSTDICTION-CONSISTENT | Settled-data row used as a postdictive alignment check or dimensional-anchor closure audit. | Does not count as in-favor evidence; firewall-protected alignment only. |
| ✓ CONSISTENT | Engine-internal algebraic agreement against the registered empirical anchor; the verifier reproduces the manuscript value within tolerance. | Does not count as empirical evidence in favor; internal consistency only. |
| ✓ ALGEBRAIC | Algebraic identity verified at machine precision or a forward-looking prediction whose internal-consistency is checked but whose empirical detection target is not yet reached. | Does not count as empirical evidence in favor; internal consistency only. |
| ✓ TIER-1 EXACT | Tier 1 algebraic identity verified at machine precision (e.g. Gram-determinant ratio). | Does not count as empirical evidence in favor; theorem/algebra status only. |
| ⚠ TENSION | Within the engine-internal enforcement contract but at 2σ-class disagreement with current data, or a non-falsifying disclosed tension. | Does not count as in-favor evidence. |
| ⚠ AT-GATE TENSION | Row-specific tri-state tolerance band: above the pass edge but below the hard-fail edge. | Does not count as in-favor evidence; tension marker only. |
| △ CURRENT-DATA-TENSION | DESI DR2 registered-menu closure-fail; Euclid DR1 is reserved for future robustness check. | Does not count as in-favor evidence; flags adverse current data. |
| ⚠ PENDING-α-RESOLUTION | Detection requires resolution of α-input ambiguity between Cs-α and Rb-α determinations; outcome locked when external α discord resolves. | Does not count as in-favor evidence; input-contingent. |
| ⚠ TENSION UNDER WP2025 | Muon g-2 arbitration row under the WP2025 lattice-dominant HVP synthesis: Tier 2 mechanism + Tier 3 1/5 coefficient + A3 + Tier 4 calibration-survival conjecture; Tension under WP2025; falsification conditional on long-term HVP-synthesis arbitration. | Does not count as in-favor evidence; live tension. |
| ⚠ EVALUATED-CLOSURE-FAILURE | Closed-form scan completed and the registered closure menu fails; reported separately from observational TENSION. | Does not count as in-favor evidence; failed closure menu. |
| ⚠ PROTECTED-SUBSPACE-REQUIRED | Bare-vs-renormalized frequency row whose engine PASS is conditional on the O.23 protected-subspace renormalization closure, not direct agreement between the bare and observed frequency channels. | Does not count as in-favor evidence until O.23 closes and the empirical gate is rerun. |
| ✗ FAIL | Outside the falsification band — a real falsification event. | Counts as against-GCT evidence. |
| ○ OPEN-RESEARCH | The registry marks the row with open_research: true because the claim is catalogued under an Open Problem (App H §H.5). The verifier output is a candidate-ansatz reference (e.g. literal φ⁻²² evaluation for the Jarlskog invariant) rather than a live Tier 2 prediction. | Does not count as in-favor evidence; future-research target. |
| ○ OPEN-CONDITIONAL | Verifier/preregistration is executable, but the decisive empirical dataset has not landed. | Does not count as in-favor evidence; externally undecided. |
| ○ PENDING-VERIFIER | No verifier script bound to this row; verifier scaffold not yet implemented. | Does not count as in-favor evidence; no measurement/verifier yet. |
A row tagged POSTDICTION-CONSISTENT, CONSISTENT, ALGEBRAIC, or OPEN-CONDITIONAL is not an empirical confirmation — it is internal-consistency-checked, postdictively aligned, or executable-but-awaiting-data. Readers comparing the matrix's status pills should treat DETECTED-TIGHT and DETECTED-MARGINAL as the only in-favor empirical-evidence pills, and only for App V Prediction rows; PENDING-α-RESOLUTION and all tension/open/verifier-pending pills are non-evidential or adverse as specified above.
FM.4 The Matrix
| ID | Manuscript Reference | Tier | Current Value | Precision (ppm) | Falsification Band | Disposition | Experiment | Timeframe | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.1 | App V row P.1; Ch08 | Tier 2 mechanism + Tier 3 integer/residual | pred = 105.656 · obs = 105.658 · [MeV] | 21 | 100 ppm | POSTDICTION-CONSISTENT alignment check. Tier 2 harmonic-ladder mechanism + Tier 3 integer/residual: the ~21 ppm residual is conditional on SM-equivalent radiative-correction discipline, and bare Tier 2 geometric precision is the uncorrected harmonic-ladder scale. This settled PDG/CODATA row is a postdictive alignment audit, not prospective detection evidence. | CODATA / PDG (settled) | Immediate | ✓ POSTDICTION-CONSISTENT |
| P.1b | App V row P.1 (companion); V3 Ch08 | Tier 2 mechanism + Tier 2 integer-pair (D=18, N=5) + Tier 3 combination rule pending O.26b | pred = 1776.84 · obs = 1776.93 · [MeV] | 51 | 0-50 ppm PASS; >50-55 ppm AT-GATE TENSION pending O.26b/QLQCD-1L; >=55 ppm hard FAIL under the registered tri-state convention | Tier 2 mechanism + Tier 2 integer-pair (D=18, N=5) + Tier 3 combination rule c = -D/N pending O.26b. Engine residual is about 50.9 ppm against the 50 ppm scorecard target, so the row emits AT-GATE TENSION pending O.5/O.26b/QLQCD-1L. The registered tri-state gate is 0-50 ppm PASS, >50-55 ppm AT-GATE TENSION, and >=55 ppm hard FAIL under the current convention. | CODATA / PDG (settled) | Immediate | ⚠ AT-GATE TENSION |
| P.1c | App V V.3 Hard Falsification; V3 Ch08 | Tier 2 mechanism + Tier 3 anchor + Tier 4 K-theoretic physical-link conjecture pending O.14 | pred = 0.511513 · obs = 0.510999 · [MeV] | 1.01 × 10³ | 1500 ppm | Tier 2 mechanism + Tier 3 dimensional/integer anchor + Tier 4 K-theoretic physical-link conjecture pending O.14. The phi^{-107} arithmetic identity is Tier 1 as an H_3 Coxeter fact, but the electron-mass derivation chain inherits the O.14 physical-link conjecture. The Dixmier-trace type-check protocol is expected to report type_check_pass=true, dixmier_trace_pass=false, status=open_problem_O.14 until the Connes-Moscovici residue computation closes. | CODATA (settled); promotion via C.1 closes 1006 ppm residual | Immediate | ✓ POSTDICTION-CONSISTENT |
| P.2 | App V row P.2; V3 Ch11 / Protocol F | Tier 2 mechanism + Tier 3 sheet/exponent handle pending AKN-action closure | pred = 938.417 · obs = 938.272 · [MeV] | ~0.015% | 500 ppm | Tier 2 mechanism + Tier 3 sheet/exponent handle pending AKN-action closure. Lattice QCD definitively confirms m_p value outside 500 ppm of m_e phi^(15+phi^-1). The ~0.015% residual is the current tree-level mechanism precision, not hadron-sector closure from the current postulate set; ppm display is suppressed for this offset-fitted handle. | QLQCD / lattice | Protocol F (lattice QCD long-horizon) | ✓ POSTDICTION-CONSISTENT |
| P.3 | App V row P.3; V3 Ch11 / Protocol C; V3 Ch15 §15.2 decision rule | Tier 2 linewidth/morphology mechanism; centroid is separate Tier 3 postdiction context | forward observables: Gamma/exposure sensitivity + deconvolved intrinsic W_int residual + stress-aperture morphology; centroid is separate postdiction context | not scored on centroid | Conditional Protocol C preregistration design: terminal Bulbul-level empirical-derived Gamma <= 2.0e-28 s^-1 in >=94 Ms equivalent only after the per-cell ARF/RMF/background/effective-mass table is frozen; W_int > 20 eV; morphology Delta chi^2 >= 9 vs smooth rho and smooth rho^2 templates inside the sigma_crit = 0.53 keV cm^-3 frozen aperture. The 26 Ms / Gamma <= 3.8e-28 s^-1 stack remains a morphology-linewidth milestone; background-limited Gamma <= 1.2e-30 s^-1 is theoretical, not operative. | P.3 Protocol C XRISM 3.55 keV conditional preregistration design. Operative forward observables are Gamma/exposure sensitivity, W_int, and stress-aperture morphology; W_int is the deconvolved intrinsic line-width residual after instrument and registered kinematic/turbulence deconvolution, and centroid agreement is not scored here. GCT is falsified at decisive sensitivity if any registered branch holds: (a) no line at terminal Bulbul-level empirical-derived Gamma <= 2.0e-28 s^-1 in >=94 Ms equivalent exposure, (b) W_int > 20 eV FWHM, or (c) morphology fails stress-gated rho_above_sigma_crit^2 by Delta chi^2 >= 9 against both smooth rho and smooth rho^2 templates inside the numerically frozen sigma_crit = 0.53 keV cm^-3 aperture. The 26 Ms / Gamma <= 3.8e-28 s^-1 stack remains a morphology-linewidth milestone. Frozen target cells are Bullet bow-shock/Mach shell, Coma merger or radio-relic shells, A2142 cold-front/merger shell, A3667/A2256/A2319 shock or merger shells, plus only off-core Perseus/A2029/A1795 annuli whose pre-line pressure/shear proxy passes the same cut; relaxed cool cores are sub-threshold calibrators unless their pre-line maps exceed the cut. The ideal background-limited calculation gives F_3sigma ~= 1.1e-8 ph/cm^2/s and Gamma <= 1.2e-30 s^-1, but this is non-operative unless a real stack demonstrates those losses are controlled. The preregistration must include a per-cell ARF/RMF/background/effective-mass exposure table; nominal equivalent exposure alone is not decisive. Until that table is frozen, the terminal no-line branch is preregistered but not executable as a completed decisive falsifier; the package supports sensitivity-limited constraints plus morphology/linewidth milestones. Preregistered budget: S1 RMF/ARF residuals < 2%; S2 K-XVIII subtraction < 1e-5 s^-1; S3 gain drift < 0.3 eV; S4 split-stack scatter < 0.5 eV; S5 random-effects width < 1 eV; S6 cross-exposure calibration < 2%. Low-shear dSph branch remains as registered in falsification_second_branch. | XRISM microcalorimetry above-sigma_crit=0.53 keV cm^-3 stacked-cluster aperture; dSph low-shear stack | Sensitivity-limited until per-cell table frozen | ○ OPEN-CONDITIONAL |
| P.3-centroid-context | App V P.3 note; V3 Ch11 §11.3.1; Protocol C context only | Tier 3 postdiction context; not the operative P.3 falsifier | centroid context: E_vac = 3.5486 keV | not an operative Protocol C score | context only; no operative falsification band | Centroid agreement at 3.5486 keV is a Tier 3 postdiction-context row. It may be reported only as context for a line that has already passed the blinded W_int and morphology gates; it cannot by itself confirm or falsify P.3. | context only; centroid postdiction | context only | ✓ CONSISTENT |
| P.4 | App V row P.4; App NS (contingency protocol); V3 Ch09 §9.3.4 (Cosmological Entanglement Theorem); V3 Ch19 / Protocol G; Ch22 §22.1.4 | Tier 2 mechanism + Tier 3 absolute-scale/remapping tension (joint binary gate with P.6 dark-energy arbitration) | pred = 0.0852555 · [eV] | — | Sigma m_nu < 0.075 eV OR Sigma m_nu > 0.15 eV at definitive precision | Joint with P.6: the 0.0853 eV floor remains in TENSION with DESI 2024 LambdaCDM Sigma m_nu < 0.072 eV and DESI DR2 LambdaCDM Sigma m_nu < 0.064 eV. The lower gate is above the normal-hierarchy floor; definitive values in [0.05,0.10) are handled by App NS. Operational neutrino-floor survival gate: Sigma m_nu > 0.10 eV at 3sigma over Planck+DESI+CMB lensing -> biogenic-DE active. A GCT-native CMB+BAO+LSS likelihood with the GCT-specific w(z) is required for quantitative assessment and is expected to return about 0.064 eV rather than 0.0853 eV; generic w0wa relaxation cannot be imported because the GCT biogenic prior is sign-opposite to the DESI-preferred dynamical-DE quadrant. | Planck + DESI 2024/DR2 (2sigma tension under LambdaCDM); Euclid DR1 | Euclid DR1 first weak-lensing power spectrum unblinding (CRITICAL) | ⚠ TENSION |
| P.4b | App V V.4 (m_1 floor companion) | Tier 2 qualitative sign pattern + Tier 3 specific frequency/amplitude pending O.12/O.23/O.24 | pred = 0.0153061 · [eV] | — | operational (see Mechanism) | m_1 below normal-hierarchy minimum massless floor (0.0589 eV implied) inconsistent with GCT phi^(-36) suppression | Project 8 CRES (2030s) | 2030+ | ✓ CONSISTENT |
| P.5b | V3 Ch08 §8.7.4 (Kinematic Activation Threshold); App R Precision Scorecard | Tier 2 kinematic-threshold mechanism + Tier 3 threshold exponent N=11; α-input contingent; status PENDING-α-RESOLUTION until Cs/Rb α discord resolves | pred = 0 · obs = -2.8e-13 | 1000.00 × 10³ | operational (see Mechanism) | Electron g-2 is a kinematic-threshold null at this loop order: the Tier 2 mechanism says a below-threshold lepton does not activate the cage-depinning vertex, while the numerical threshold E_res = m_e·φ^11 inherits the Tier 3 N=11 exponent. Falsified if any future measurement establishes |Δa_e^anom| > 10⁻¹² at >3σ ROBUSTLY across α-input choices (Cs-α2 + Rb-α2 + matter-wave gradiometry agreement). Current state: Cs-α gives 0.96σ agreement; Rb-α gives 3.94σ tension; status PENDING-α-RESOLUTION until α-input ambiguity resolves. | CODATA 2022 a_e + Cs-α (Parker 2018) / Rb-α (Morel 2020); next-gen atom interferometry | Immediate (α-input contingent) | ⚠ PENDING-α-RESOLUTION |
| P.5 | App V row P.5; V3 Ch08; HVP-Survival Condition | Tier 2 mechanism + Tier 3 1/5 coefficient + A3 + Tier 4 calibration-survival conjecture (HVP arbitration); Tension under WP2025; falsification conditional on long-term HVP-synthesis arbitration | pred = 2.50655e-09 · obs = 3.75e-10 | 5684.13 × 10³ | operational (see Mechanism) | Tier 3 revival path requires a reopened >3sigma experiment-theory gap near the GCT correction scale under R-ratio/lattice arbitration. A consolidated high-HVP lattice-dominant WP2025-class baseline collapses the anomaly and is adverse evidence, not a survival path. Current WP2025 baseline registers as adverse evidence because Delta a_mu^GCT ~= 2.51e-9 overshoots the consolidated gap by ~3.4sigma. | HVP theory synthesis plus Fermilab/BNL experimental comparison (BMW/RBC/Mainz/lattice and R-ratio arbitration) | Long-term HVP-synthesis arbitration | ⚠ TENSION UNDER WP2025 |
| P.5c | App V row P.5c; V3 Ch08; GCT_Physics_Engine/data/protocol_qed_audit_results.json::tau_g2 | Tier 2 mechanism (5-channel A_5 averaging from RT, identical to muon channel) + Tier 3 form-factor universality assumption (channel-count universality across leptons; sub-problem of O.26) | — | — | operational (see Mechanism) | Long-horizon theoretical extrapolation / consistency check: GCT computes Delta_a_tau ~ 2.50655e-9 from the same 5-channel A_5 averaging applied to the above-threshold tau using alpha_CODATA (the tau at 1776.93 MeV sits | FCC-ee tau-g-2 program (FCC-ee era target sensitivity ~1e-6, still 3 OOM short) | Long-horizon (FCC-ee era) | ○ PENDING-VERIFIER |
| P.6 | App V row P.6; Ch14 §14.6.3 / Ch12; multi-channel shape-proxy partition evaluated in protocol_de_multichannel.py | Tier 3 registered-menu caveat (Biogenic DE; ACTIVE TENSION with DES-Dovekie recalibrated DESI registered-menu CLOSURE-FAILS; Euclid/Roman reserved for robustness and fingerprint arbitration; closure paths C1/C2/C3 of App H O.13 remain open) | — | — | operational (see Mechanism) | ACTIVE TENSION (DES-Dovekie recalibrated DESI registered-menu CLOSURE-FAILS); Euclid/Roman reserved for robustness and fingerprint arbitration. Single-channel biogenic-DE engine output (w_0, w_a) ~ (-1.0038, +0.0136) is sign-opposite to the DES-Dovekie recalibrated DESI DR2 + CMB target (arXiv:2511.07517): (w_0, w_a) = (-0.803 +/- 0.054, -0.72 +/- 0.21), with joint dynamical-DE significance 3.2sigma. CLOSURE-FAILS evidence: registered 5-channel menu (protocol_de_multichannel.py) gives w_0 in [-1.009, -0.991] across scan band (near-phantom quadrant); the DES-Dovekie central value w_0 = -0.803 +/- 0.054 remains in the quintessence-today quadrant and above the registered channel ceiling. Multi-channel shape-proxy partition (Copeland-Sami-Tsujikawa 2006; Ch14 §14.6.3) evaluated via 4032-point sweep over (Omega_Lambda,0, f_ext, f_chiral, f_pert, z_chiral) in protocol_de_multichannel.py returns best-fit diagonal diagnostic score ~4.861 against the DES-Dovekie target, flat to within 0.0446 diagnostic-score units across the swept Omega_Lambda,0 range; this is diagnostic only and not a covariance-aware likelihood distance, physical multi-fluid background model, or closure threshold. The closure failure applies to the registered five-channel shape-proxy menu, not to a physical likelihood-weighted multi-fluid prediction; w_total(z) is a convex combination of channels all carrying w_c <= -0.9, so it cannot reach the DES-Dovekie quintessence-today region for any choice of channel fractions, including any Omega_Lambda,0. A physical prediction requires continuity-evolved rho_c(z) and the DESI covariance treatment. The state-level CPL-fit gate fires if DESI/Euclid/Roman produce a 3sigma+ CPL detection of w_0 > -1 AND w_a < 0 (quintessence-today + more-phantom-into-past trajectory, opposite to GCT's phantom-asymptote-from-below) with no biogenic-channel fingerprint; this falsifies the registered five-channel state-level shape-proxy menu, not a no-go theorem over all possible GCT dark-energy channels. The law-level w(z) <= -1 phantom-direction claim from a single channel remains independently testable via Roman Space Telescope joint-bin analysis across z in [0.05, 0.5]. | DESI DR2 + CMB + DES-Dovekie recalibration + Euclid/Roman fingerprint arbitration; multi-channel shape-proxy registered-menu no-go diagnostic: protocol_de_multichannel.py (registered menu CLOSURE-FAILS; best-fit diagonal diagnostic score 4.861 against DES-Dovekie target) | DESI DR2 + Euclid DR1 + Roman joint window | △ CURRENT-DATA-TENSION (DESI DR2 registered-menu closure-fail; Euclid DR1 reserved for future robustness check) |
| P.6b | App V row P.6b; V2 Ch14 §14.1.5 | Tier 2 mechanism + Tier 3 operative biogenic-DE quartic mass scale (conditional on O.1 closure) | — | — | qualitative | Tier 2 frozen-phason-vacuum mechanism + Tier 3 operative biogenic-DE quartic mass scale m_phason_operative = 1.7e-5 eV conditional on O.1 closure. The Weinberg candidate M_P phi^-147 ≈ 2.2 meV is separate O.37 reconcile-or-discard material; hbar H0 is the Hubble energy scale, not a direct phason mass constraint. | Future cosmological probe of dark-sector mass gap | Long-horizon | ○ PENDING-VERIFIER |
| P.7 | App V row P.7; V3 Ch21 / Protocol I — PARENT umbrella row; specific observables are split into P.7c (peak), P.7d (linear Legendre), P.7e (squared C_6/C_0), P.7f (kSZ), P.7g (FRB-SDSS scalar). Per-observable falsification handled at child rows; this parent row retained for App V cross-reference continuity only. | Tier 2 harmonic-form mechanism + Tier 3 specific phi^-18 amplitude pending O.15(b) RG-map derivation (parent umbrella; see P.7c-g for per-observable tier dispositions) | — | — | operational (see Mechanism) | |C_hat_6| < 1e-4 at 3sigma in NANOGrav 15yr + PPTA DR3 + EPTA DR2 combined matched-filter analysis (this falsification clause is the linear-Legendre form; see P.7d for the dedicated row, P.7c for peak deviation, P.7e for squared form) | NANOGrav 15yr + PPTA DR3 + EPTA DR2 (parent; see P.7c-g for specific instrument-observable pairings) | Parent prediction; per-observable timeframes in P.7c-g | ○ PENDING-VERIFIER |
| P.8 | App V row P.8; V3 Ch13 / Protocol A | Tier 2 mechanism + Tier 3 specific branch values (Branch A 112 MHz, Branch B 42 MHz) | — | — | P_CISS^net >= 0.1 clean; >= 0.025 sensitivity-limited | F1 = four-conjunct joint null. Protocol A-Prime F1 is falsified if and only if all four conjuncts hold after frozen S0-S7 acceptance checks pass: (a) NO peak is detected in the Branch A 112 +/- 10 MHz window, (b) NO peak is detected in the Branch B 42 +/- 10 MHz window across the full required scan band 32-200 MHz, with <=5 kHz spacing and the required scan statistic M = 201,600, alpha_local ~= 1.34e-8, N_T2,scan ~= 5.1e3 shots per frequency/bin cell, and ~=1.03e9 shots across the full six-cell scan, (c) NO anti-Zeno sign at the 150 MHz control, and (d) NO chirality contrast against achiral control. Frozen NV ensemble: N_caps=50 caps x N_NV=20 implanted NV centers per cap = 1000 NV-center observations; shot noise scales as 1/sqrt(N_caps*N_NV), and the 20 NVs per cap are pooled for depth-jitter mitigation. Branch A is the primary GCT 100-MHz prediction; Branch B is the geometric sibling for O.12-negative outcomes (eta_Zeno suppression of the primary line shifts the peak to the 42 MHz sub-harmonic). A single-branch null does not falsify. Measured per-cap P_CISS and post-transfer CISS retention are required before unblinding. Peak-amplitude magnitude is conditional on App H O.23 + O.24 closures and is NOT a separate falsifying threshold. S1 CISS decision rule: Pre-unblinding spin-polarimetry on each h-BN/NV cap is required by CD/VCD chirality verification plus muSR rotation of injected polarized muons or two-terminal magnetoresistance with reference unpolarized contact at 4 K. P_CISS^net >= 0.1 at >=5sigma across all 50 caps -> clean F1 falsification possible only if S7 transfer retention also passes; 0.025 <= P_CISS^net < 0.1 -> sensitivity-limited (re-power required with N_shots proportional to 1/(P_CISS^net)^2); P_CISS^net < 0.025 -> not falsifying. CD/VCD chirality verification is necessary but not sufficient. | Pulsed-ESR / NV-centre platform | 2-5 years; executable only after preregistration verifier/package freeze | ○ PENDING-VERIFIER |
| P.8b | App V row P.8b; V3 Ch13 §13.3.2b / Protocol A THz shadow-pulse SNR audit | Tier 3 quantitative scope; direct-detection target operationally unreachable at current sensitivity pending O.10 | — | — | operational (see Mechanism) | Direct detection: absence of any coherent 360-400 GHz line at >3sigma from active neural tissue under MEA-correlated gamma-burst conditions after cryogenic TES + high-Q cavity upgrade; persistence of the same line in anesthetized control at unchanged amplitude; or line centroid outside 380 +/- 20 GHz at >3sigma. Current-sensitivity direct detection is not an operative gate because the cavity-integrated signal remains several orders of magnitude below the thermal floor after N^2 enhancement and 1 ms Dicke integration (absolute margin set by the radiance-to-power etendue conversion, bracketed multimode-to-mode-matched, routed to Open Problem O.10). Operative modulation-differential gate: blinded frozen-pipeline absence of anaesthetic-cycle-correlated 360-400 GHz power at >3sigma across N_shots >= 1e5 anaesthetic cycles. | Active vs anesthetized neural tissue, MEA-correlated 360-400 GHz THz monitoring; modulation-differential cycle protocol with frozen cross-correlation pipeline | Modulation-differential multi-month run; direct detection requires cryogenic/high-Q upgrade | ○ PENDING-VERIFIER |
| P.8c | App V row P.8c; V3 Ch13 §13.3.5 Protocol A-Tertius LGI pre-registration package | Tier 2 qualitative coherence-sign pattern + Tier 3 specific nu_c = 112 +/- 10 MHz value and violation magnitude pending O.12/O.23 | — | — | operational (see Mechanism) | Protected-subspace LGI branch fails if the blinded primary endpoint K_3(nu_c) <= 1 at 3sigma after Holm correction across the registered branch window (112 +/- 10 MHz if O.12 positive; 42 +/- 10 MHz if O.12 negative), the 150 MHz control, and deuterated-Trp contrasts. Registered prediction: Tier 2 qualitative sign pattern K_3(nu_c) > 1, K_3(150 MHz) <= 1, and deuterated-Trp suppression of the nu_c excess; the branch value and nominal effect size K_3 = 1 + phi^-9/pi = 1.0042 (Delta K_3 ~0.0042) are Tier 3 pending O.12/O.23. Sample size target n >= 1.7e7 valid triplets per condition across at least 12 independently prepared samples; family-wise alpha = 0.01; exploratory frequency scans cannot replace the registered branch/150 MHz contrasts. | Protocol A-Tertius LGI radical-pair parity readout with blinded frequency/isotope labels and locked estimator | Pre-registered; execution conditional on chiral-NV / tubulin radical-pair LGI sensitivity benchmarking | ○ PENDING-VERIFIER |
| P.9 | App V row P.9; V2 Ch14 §14.4.1 + §14.6.3 | Tier 3 (Biogenic-channel amplitude at supercluster scale, calibrated against V7' Class-2 envelope) | — | — | operational (see Mechanism) | Roman-successor mission (or DESI Y10+ extended spatial-mapping program) finds no dipole amplitude in the registered [0.6, 1.5]e-4 delta_w/w band aligned within +/-30 degrees of Shapley (l ~ 311 deg, b ~ 30 deg) at > 3sigma. Predicted amplitude tied to V7' Class-2 envelope cosmic-mean |Delta w(z=0.28)| in [2, 5] x 10^-5 (Ch14 §14.6.3) times realistic biogenic-overdensity factor delta_bio in [1, 3] at Shapley scale (Local Sheet to Laniakea); the predicted amplitude is below DESI Y3 spatial-mapping sensitivity and functions as a Roman-successor amplitude target. | Roman-successor (or DESI Y10+ extended spatial-w(z) mapping) | Roman-successor amplitude target | ○ PENDING-VERIFIER |
| P.10 | App V row P.10; V3 Ch13 §13.3.5 Decision Matrix / Protocol A-Prime; authoritative decision rule lives at P.8 | Tier 2 mechanism + Tier 3 amplitude readout | — | — | P_CISS^net >= 0.1 clean; >= 0.025 sensitivity-limited | Alias row only. See P.8 for the authoritative Protocol A-Prime thresholds, scan statistic, sample-size budget, Branch A/B joint-null, S0-S7 acceptance, 150 MHz anti-Zeno control, chirality-contrast requirement, measured per-cap P_CISS acceptance floors, post-transfer CISS retention, and 50 caps x 20 NV ensemble. Readiness and verifier/package-freeze status are identical to P.8. A single-branch null remains sensitivity information, not framework falsification. S1 CISS decision rule: Alias row; see P.8 for CISS decision rule and thresholds.. | NV-centre chiral surrogate | 2-5 years; same readiness as P.8 | ○ PENDING-VERIFIER |
| P.11 | App V row P.11; V2 (CMB birefringence — derivation pending) | Tier 2 prediction + Tier 3 statistical-floor | — | — | operational (see Mechanism) | Operational preregistration: TB+EB cross-correlation estimator; beta_birefringence > 0.1 deg at 3sigma; gray zone 0.05-0.1 deg sensitivity-limited; Planck PR4 70% galactic mask plus foreground residual model; Bonferroni correction over 6 azimuthal bins; instrument polarization-angle uncertainty <= 0.05 deg; OSF/Zenodo freeze before unblinding. | Planck PR4 TB+EB cross-correlation | Immediate | ○ PENDING-VERIFIER |
| P.12 | App V row P.12; V2 (FRB birefringence) | Tier 2 prediction + Tier 3 statistical-floor | — | — | operational (see Mechanism) | Operational preregistration: rotation-measure dispersion vs frequency estimator; 6-fold azimuthal correlation amplitude > 0.05 rad^2; gray zone 0.025-0.05 rad^2 sensitivity-limited; CHIME/FRB 1000-burst sample plus SKA-Mid 1-year sample; Galactic Faraday rotation residual <= 5 rad/m^2; OSF/Zenodo freeze before unblinding. | CHIME/FRB 1000-burst sample + SKA-Mid 1-year sample | CHIME/FRB + SKA observational window | ○ PENDING-VERIFIER |
| P.32 | V3 Ch22 §22.3.1 (aspirational: 'QLQCD will resolve the Strong CP Problem') | Tier 3 (mechanism stated; theorem-grade elevation bundled with QLQCD-1L Open Problem O.5) | pred = 0 · obs = 0 · [(rad)] | — | operational (see Mechanism) | GCT predicts theta-bar = exactly 0 from icosahedral chirality-preserving cycle closure (all 5/3/2-fold I_h rotations close at multiples of 2pi exactly under cut-and-project preservation). Current bound |d_n| < 1.8e-26 e·cm → |theta-bar| < 1e-10. Positive detection of |theta-bar| > 1e-10 at >3sigma in next-gen nEDM (SNS, n2EDM) would falsify the mechanism. Theorem-grade promotion requires QLQCD-1L closure (non-perturbative proof of anomaly-free topological quantisation). | Neutron EDM (SNS, n2EDM at PSI) — next-gen 10^-28 e·cm target | next-generation nEDM (SNS, n2EDM at PSI); theorem-grade promotion = QLQCD-1L long-horizon | ✓ ALGEBRAIC |
| P.12b | App H §H.5 Open Problem O.7 (CKM Jarlskog first-principles derivation) | OPEN RESEARCH (O.7) | pred = 2.52506e-05 · obs = 3.12e-05 | 190.69 × 10³ | qualitative | No current Tier 2 GCT prediction for the CKM Jarlskog invariant J. The candidate J_GCT proportional to phi^-n awaits first-principles closure (Open Problem O.7, bundled with QLQCD-1L research debt O.5). The delta_CP = 360 deg * phi^-1 value is independent of J and stands as a Tier 3 PMNS-sector phase ansatz pending O.7 (the Jackiw-Rebbi twist is the gauge-chirality result of Ch02 SS2.4.2, not the delta_CP value). | n/a (research-debt: O.7 closure) | Long-horizon (research-scale) | ○ OPEN-RESEARCH |
| P.13 | App V Table V.1 row P.13; V3 Ch16 §16.3.4 (Drosophila O LORR assay); App F §F.4 (f_bound central/sensitivity branch discipline); GCT_Physics_Engine/src/protocol_isotope_experiment.py (parameter-band evaluation, not a falsification verifier) | Tier 2 mechanism (Spin-Entropy Modulation via bound-water O hyperfine) + Tier 4 quantitative-gate operationally unfalsifiable under the registered systematic budget per Ch16 §16.3.4. Operative central branch is f_bound=0 under n_rp=0 pending O.21 closure, giving no LORR signal; the sensitivity branch is f_bound=[1.0,2.0]e-3 under n_rp=1 conditional on O.21, giving nominal signed endpoint shift [-0.20%,-0.10%]. | — | — | qualitative | No operative falsification gate under the §16.3.4 systematic budget. Central branch n_rp=0 gives f_bound=0 and no predicted LORR signal pending O.21. Sensitivity branch n_rp=1 gives f_bound=[1.0,2.0]e-3 and signed endpoint shift [-0.20%,-0.10%]. The systematic-only SD is 0.0577, 57.65x the 0.10% naive gate; halving S2/S4 reduces sigma_syst by 1.20x and does not recover power. Until a systematics-validated gate is specified, the Tier 2 framework-level mechanism is preserved and the quantitative gate is deferred. | O LORR assay (Ch16 §16.3.4; preregistration package required before unblinding) | Protocol D LORR pilot window | ○ OPEN-CONDITIONAL |
| P.13c | App V row P.13c; Ch16 §16.3.4 (NMR polarity gate) | Tier 2 mechanism + Tier 3 active-state Delta T2 calibration anchor pending O.21/O.33 | pred = 0.05 · [fractional Delta T2/T2] | — | operational (see Mechanism) | Executable preregistration verifier bound to P.13c. Primary statistic: 99% bootstrap CI (10^4 resamples) of Delta T_2 = T_2(17O) - T_2(16O). Decision rule (sign-aware): (a) the 99% bootstrap CI excludes zero AND (b) abs(Delta T_2) > 3*sigma_measurement AND (c) sign(Delta T_2) = +1, meaning T_2 in 17O is longer than in 16O. GCT CONFIRMED on (a)+(b)+(c) jointly only if the pilot variance gate satisfies the returned max_total_per_preparation_sigma_fraction_for_80pct_power. GCT FALSIFIED if (a)+(b) hold but (c) fails; statistically significant negative Delta T_2 falsifies the sign-positive prediction. A sign-positive but sub-5% significant effect is reported as positive-sensitivity / effect-size revision, not as confirmation or failure. CI overlap is inconclusive. Operational preregistration: n=24 independent biological preparations per isotope condition, three repeated NMR acquisitions per preparation, two-sided alpha=0.01, beta=0.20, power target for a 5% active-state polarity reversal, pilot variance acceptance below the verifier-returned sigma ceiling, dominant 17O quadrupolar-relaxation systematic bounded to sigma<0.2 ppm under the frozen relaxation model, S1-S8 systematics required, preregistration package/code/synthetic-data budget frozen before unblinding, and first decisive run targeted for 12-18 months after protocol freeze and isotope-logistics validation. Current status remains OPEN_CONDITIONAL until blinded lab data land; the verifier executes the frozen n=24/99%-CI/0.2-ppm/systematic/alpha-beta power design. | 17O vs 16O neural-tissue NMR with blinded acquisition and frozen fit model | Protocol D NMR polarity window | ○ OPEN-CONDITIONAL |
| P.13b | App V V.3 Hard Falsification; V3 Ch04 | Tier 2 (tree-level bare) | pred = 137.508 · obs = 137.036 | 3.44 × 10³ | 5000 ppm | alpha^-1 bare outside 5000 ppm of 360 phi^-2 (3442 ppm residual is the QLQCD-1L phason anti-screening debt — tightening below 3442 ppm requires QLQCD-1L closure, not a falsification opportunity) | CODATA (settled) | Immediate | ○ OPEN-CONDITIONAL |
| P.14 | App R §R.2; V3 Ch04 §4.3.1; App U §U.9 Theorem U.9; App ZN | Tier 1 (Uniqueness Theorem U.9) + Tier 3 A2 endpoint disclosure | pred = 0.236068 · obs = 0.23122 | 20.97 × 10³ | 50000 ppm | sin^2 theta_W bare outside phi^-3 by more than 5% — would falsify either the Gram length ratio (T1.b) or the cut-and-project dimension (T1.a). M_Z endpoint remains Tier 3 import / A2-anchored RGE flow, not falsification target for the bare value. | LEP / Z-pole (settled) | Immediate | ✓ POSTDICTION-CONSISTENT |
| P.15 | App TP §TP-C; V3 Ch04 §4.3.2 | Tier 1 (Gram Projection Theorem exact) | pred = 0.381966 | — | 1 ppm | Machine-precision Gram boundary scalar rho_G differs from phi^-2, or canonical normalized Cartan share rho_G/(1+rho_G) differs from 0.27639320225. The physical bare Weinberg angle remains the separate volume-coupling value sin^2 theta_W = phi^-3. | Machine-precision verification in engine | Immediate (TIER1_EXACT) | ✓ TIER-1 EXACT |
| P.16 | App R §R.1; V2 Ch09 | Tier 2 thermodynamic mechanism + Tier 4 Planck-link conjecture (inherits O.14) + Tier 3 dimensional anchor | pred = 6.68948e-11 · obs = 6.6743e-11 · [m^3 kg^-1 s^-2] | 2.27 × 10³ | 5000 ppm | Tier 2 thermodynamic mechanism + Tier 4 Planck-link conjecture (inherits O.14) + Tier 3 dimensional anchor; 2274 ppm postdiction. Falsification gate: G outside 5000 ppm of the m_e-anchored Jacobson thermodynamic chain. | CODATA 2022 | Immediate | ✓ POSTDICTION-CONSISTENT |
| P.17b | V3 Ch05 §5.2.3 (lambda = 1/8 bare prediction Tier 2; physical m_H Tier 3 pending App TP §TP-E 1-loop closure) | Tier 2 bare (lambda = 1/8 from geometric packing) + Tier 3 physical m_H (pending TP-E 1-loop closure; bundled with QLQCD-1L) | pred = 123.11 · obs = 125.1 · [GeV] | 15.91 × 10³ | 50000 ppm | m_H^bare = v · sqrt(2 lambda_bare) = v/2 from lambda = 1/8 (Tier 2 geometric packing identity). Bare prediction 123.11 GeV vs PDG 125.10 GeV: +1.6% gap (1.99 GeV; ~16000 ppm). PASS if bare-to-physical gap stays within 5% (consistent with expected SM 1-loop radiative correction sign and rough magnitude). Falsified if observed m_H drops below the bare prediction at >3sigma, or if the full GCT 1-loop computation (TP-E) yields a correction with the wrong sign or magnitude to close the gap. Tier 2 promotion of the physical-mass prediction requires TP-E delivering a derived correction matching PDG within ~100 ppm. | PDG 2024 m_H = 125.10 GeV (LHC, settled) | Immediate (bare); full Tier 1 closure pending TP-E / QLQCD-1L | ○ OPEN-CONDITIONAL |
| P.17 | App R §R.2; V3 Ch05 | Tier 2 mechanism + A3 measured alpha + Tier 3 calibrated 1440-handle residual; OPEN_CONDITIONAL precision status | pred = 246.176 · obs = 246.22 · [GeV] | 181 | 5000 ppm | Higgs VEV v = m_mu * 1440 * phi is a Tier 2 mechanism with A3 measured-alpha inheritance and a Tier 3 calibrated 1440-handle residual. The ~181 ppm row is inherited from the muon-mass closure times the chosen 1440*phi factorization, not an independent geometric closure of v; O.20 factorization and O.5/O.14/O.15/O.19 remain upstream. | LHC (settled) | Immediate; m_H tightening via A.3 | ○ OPEN-CONDITIONAL |
| P.18 | App R §R.2; V3 Ch10 | Tier 2 bare + Tier 3 lepton-to-hadron transfer | pred = 13.1473 · obs = 13.04 · [degrees] | 8.23 × 10³ | 50000 ppm | Cabibbo has a Tier 2 bare prediction sin(theta_C)^bare = phi^{-3}; the corrected s_12 = phi^{-3}(1-5 alpha) value is Tier 2 bare + Tier 3 lepton-to-hadron transfer pending O.5 and is a live 3.6 sigma CKM tension under the registered PDG comparison. | PDG (settled) | Immediate | ⚠ TENSION |
| P.19 | App R §R.3; V3 Ch10 | Tier 2 geometric motif + Tier 3 QCD scheme/running bridge | pred = 2.16463 · obs = 2.16 · [MeV] | 2.14 × 10³ | operational (see Mechanism) | m_u outside PDG 2024 m_u = 2.16 +/- 0.07 MeV at mu=2 GeV for the registered m_e * geometric exponent; comparison inherits a Tier 3 QCD scheme/running bridge until QLQCD matching closes | PDG 2024 | Immediate | ✓ POSTDICTION-CONSISTENT |
| P.20 | App TP §TP-B; Ch10; engine refs protocol_quark_mismatch.py + protocol_md_fk_ih_closed_cages.py | Tier 2 FK-determinant mechanism + Tier 3 phi^phi infinite-volume-limit identification conditional on O.5 | pred = 4.71555 · obs = 4.7 · [MeV] | 3.31 × 10³ | 110000 ppm | POSTDICTION-CONSISTENT conditional: m_d = m_u * phi^phi = 4.716 MeV, +0.33% against the PDG central value, inside the registered 11% shell-resonance band. Mechanism: Tier 2 FK-determinant mechanism + Tier 3 phi^phi infinite-volume-limit identification conditional on O.5. The FK sequence centers on phi^phi: closed-cage deep-tail mean det_FK/phi^phi = 0.9976 (sample std 0.0253), with sequence-mean signed error vs PDG +0.09%. Single-cage values oscillate within the 11% shell-resonance band with empirical decaying envelope; rigorous infinite-volume convergence is not proved and bundles with O.5. The m_d match is the central tendency of an oscillating sequence rather than a single clean value, a notch weaker than the up/strange rows. | PDG | Immediate | ✓ POSTDICTION-CONSISTENT |
| P.21 | App R §R.3; V3 Ch10 | Tier 3 (12α drag coefficient; geometric scaling formula retained as the mechanism) | pred = 92.7864 · obs = 93.5 · [MeV] | 7.63 × 10³ | operational (see Mechanism) | The strange-quark area-law scaling is retained as the mechanism, but the specific 12α drag coefficient is a Tier 3 state-level handle per the Ledger; falsification remains m_s outside the PDG +/- 5sigma gate for this registered expression. | PDG 2024 | Immediate | ✓ POSTDICTION-CONSISTENT |
| P.22 | App TP §TP-B (heuristic); V3 Ch10 | Tier 3 (Mixed-Harmonic ansatz, N=17 second-harmonic) | pred = 1263.45 · obs = 1273 · [MeV] | 7.50 × 10³ | operational (see Mechanism) | m_c outside +/- 3% of m_u phi^(13+phi^-3) heuristic (Tier 3 promotion path via QLQCD-1L K-theoretic gap label) | PDG 2024 / QLQCD-1L | Long-horizon (O.5 closure) | ✓ ALGEBRAIC |
| P.23 | App R §R.3; V3 Ch10 | Tier 3 absolute prediction (5/4 coefficient Tier 2; imports Tier 3 m_c input; state-level residual conditional on O.5) | pred = 4134.69 · obs = 4183 · [MeV] | 11.55 × 10³ | 25000 ppm | Tier 2 5/4 coefficient + Tier 3 m_c input → Tier 3 absolute prediction (1.15% as state-level residual conditional on O.5); falsification remains m_b outside 4130-4230 MeV at 5sigma. | PDG 2024 | Immediate | ✓ POSTDICTION-CONSISTENT |
| P.24 | App R §R.3; V3 Ch10 | Tier 3 absolute prediction (state-level residual conditional on O.5) | pred = 174.104 · obs = 172.57 · [GeV] | 8.89 × 10³ | operational (see Mechanism) | Top-quark absolute mass is Tier 3 as a state-level residual conditional on O.5/QCD pole-mass closure; falsification remains m_t outside the PDG +/- 5sigma gate for the geometric prediction. | PDG 2024 | Immediate | ✓ POSTDICTION-CONSISTENT |
| P.25 | App R §R.3; V3 Ch10 | Tier 2 bare + Tier 3 lepton-to-hadron transfer | pred = 0.227455 · obs = 0.225 | 10.91 × 10³ | operational (see Mechanism) | CKM s_12 / Cabibbo has a Tier 2 bare face-tunneling prediction and a Tier 3 lepton-to-hadron transfer correction through (1-5 alpha) pending O.5. The corrected value is not an unconditional Tier 2 prediction. | PDG 2024 | Immediate | ⚠ TENSION |
| P.26 | App R §R.3; V3 Ch10 | Tier 3 (ansatz pending QLQCD-1L K-theoretic gap label) | pred = 0.0413916 · obs = 0.0418 | 9.77 × 10³ | operational (see Mechanism) | CKM s_23 outside Tier 3 ansatz envelope; closure path via TP-F (O.5) | PDG 2024 | Long-horizon (O.5 closure) | ⚠ TENSION |
| P.27 | App R §R.3; V3 Ch10 | Tier 3 (ansatz pending QLQCD-1L K-theoretic gap label) | pred = 0.00373228 · obs = 0.003732 | 76 | operational (see Mechanism) | CKM s_13 outside Tier 3 ansatz envelope; closure path via TP-F (O.5) | PDG 2024 | Long-horizon (O.5 closure) | ✓ ALGEBRAIC |
| P.28 | App R §R.3; V3 Ch09 | Tier 3 (PMNS axis-sliding ansatz; joint disposition inherits theta_23 tension) | pred = 33.3953 · obs = 33.4 · [degrees] | 140 | operational (see Mechanism) | PMNS theta_12 is a Tier 3 axis-sliding ansatz in the joint PMNS sector; the row cannot be promoted independently while theta_23 remains in octant-dependent tension. | PDG 2024 | Immediate | ✓ POSTDICTION-CONSISTENT |
| P.29 | App R §R.3; V3 Ch09 | Tier 3 (PMNS axis-sliding ansatz; joint disposition inherits theta_23 tension) | pred = 8.38929 · obs = 8.58 · [degrees] | 22.23 × 10³ | operational (see Mechanism) | PMNS theta_13 is a Tier 3 axis-sliding ansatz in the joint PMNS sector; the row cannot be promoted independently while theta_23 remains in octant-dependent tension. | PDG 2024 | Immediate | ⚠ TENSION |
| P.30 | App R §R.3; V3 Ch09 (4.09sigma tension acknowledged at Tier 3) | Tier 3 (TENSION) | pred = 45 · obs = 49.5 · [degrees] | 90.91 × 10³ | operational (see Mechanism) | PMNS theta_23 is Tier 3 tension: the bare 45 deg prediction sits at the octant boundary, in >4 sigma tension with the upper-octant best fit and closer to the lower-octant branch; DUNE/Hyper-K octant arbitration is required before promotion. | DUNE / Hyper-K (2030+); current T2K + NOvA at 4.09sigma | 2030+ | ⚠ TENSION |
| P.31 | App R §R.3; V3 Ch09 | Tier 3 PMNS-sector phase ansatz pending O.7, holonomy-to-observed-PMNS mapping, and PMNS tension resolution | pred = 222.492 · obs = 232 · [degrees] | 40.98 × 10³ | operational (see Mechanism) | delta_CP outside the 360 deg phi^-1 parametric phase by > 5sigma in DUNE / Hyper-K would falsify the registered Tier 3 phase ansatz; numerical PMNS-sector magnitude and downstream eEDM disposition remain Tier 3 pending O.7 and the PMNS tension resolution. | DUNE / Hyper-K (2030+) | 2030+ | ○ OPEN-CONDITIONAL |
| P.33 | V3 Ch07 §7.1.3; Parameter Ledger §2 | Tier 2 area-law identification + Tier 3 Planck-state numerical scale | pred = 144 · obs = 144 · [(integer)] | 0 | 0 ppm | N=144 cage count contradicted by direct structural enumeration of the icosahedral cut-and-project polyhedron (no possible falsification within the math; exact integer identity F_12 = 144 = 12^2, unique Fibonacci-square in cage-relevant range) | n/a (mathematical identity) | n/a | ✓ ALGEBRAIC |
| P.34 | App K §K.4; Parameter Ledger §0.1 P3; Ch04 §4.2.2; Ch06 §6.2.2 | Tier 2 postulate + Tier 3 specific exponent (D=18) | pred = 0.00017307 · obs = 0.00017307 | 0 | 1 ppm | K_perp/K_para measurement deviates from phi^-D with D=18 specifically (other small integers D in [12, 24] also pass the postulate but would falsify the specific D=18 exponent); i-AlPdMn phason elastic measurements place D between 14 and 20 (100-1000x gap to fully resolve) | Phason elastic spectroscopy in i-AlPdMn quasicrystals (analog systems) | n/a (mathematical identity at machine precision via Gram determinant ratio) | ✓ ALGEBRAIC |
| P.35 | V3 Ch04 §4.3; Parameter Ledger Y_uR/Y_dR/Y_eR row | Tier 2 | pred = 8.88178e-16 · obs = 0 · [(L_inf residual across right-handed identity + four anomaly traces)] | — | 0 ppm | Y_R != 2Q for right-handed singlets (would falsify the Gell-Mann-Nishijima identity itself); exact algebraic identity given SM charges and I_3=0 for singlets, Tier 2 attaches to the E_parallel/E_perp split premise | n/a (algebraic identity) | n/a | ✓ ALGEBRAIC |
| P.16b | V3 Ch07 §7.3 Theorem 7.3.1; App K §K.5; Parameter Ledger row 23 | Tier 1 textbook xi = a_0/alpha + Tier 3 microtubule-lumen biological-scale match | pred = 7.25163 · obs = 7.25 · [nm] | 225 | 20000 ppm | xi = hbar c / (alpha^2 m_e c^2) = a_0/alpha is the Tier 1 Bohr-Compton scale; microtubule lumen identification 2*xi vs lumen ID is the Tier 3 biological-scale match and is falsified if cryo-EM measurement falls outside 13-17 nm at 5sigma | Cryo-EM of microtubule lumen ID (existing); independent algebraic verification (machine precision via verify_healing_length.py) | current | ✓ ALGEBRAIC |
| P.36 | V3 Ch13 §13.2.1; App M §M (Jacobian derivation); Ch18 §18.2.1; Parameter Ledger row 29 | Tier 2 | pred = 1.10719e-80 · obs = 1e-80 · [(dimensionless wavefunction-overlap suppression)] | 107.19 × 10³ | 200000 ppm | Tier 2 wavefunction-overlap mechanism. Current engine residual is about 107000 ppm inside the 200000 ppm cross-route convention band; the row is a consistency check pending a single declared Bohr-Compton/xi convention rather than a hard biological-overlap falsifier. | n/a (algebraic consequence of GCT mass spectrum) | current | ✓ ALGEBRAIC |
| P.37 | V1 Ch17 §17.1.2c; Parameter Ledger f_bound row | Tier 3 biological substrate value (O.21/O.33 conservative geometry) | pred = 0 · obs = 0 | — | 100000 ppm | Operative central branch is f_bound=0 under n_rp=0 pending O.21 closure. Sensitivity branch is [1.0,2.0]e-3 under n_rp=1 conditional on O.21. The n_rp=2 branch [2.0,4.0]e-3 is disfavored but registered; the structural stress-test upper edge 6.1e-3 (n_rp=2, n_contact=12) is the geometric maximum and not used downstream. | assembled-MT lumen-axis geometry + MD/NMR hydration-shell validation (Protocol A-Prime support) | Protocol A-Prime | ✓ ARITHMETIC-CONSISTENT (biology pending O.21+O.33) |
| P.38 | V3 Ch13 §13.1.2b (rewrite); App X §X.12; App H Open Problem O.12 | Tier 2 mechanism / Tier 3 branch-specific nu_c value; O.23 protected-subspace renormalization required | pred = 2e+07 · obs = 1.12e+08 · [Hz] | 821.43 × 10³ | operational (see Mechanism) | Bare-vs-renormalized frequency channel: the engine PASS is protected by construction against the O.12/O.23 branch logic, but the manuscript requires O.23 protected-subspace renormalization before the 30 MHz bare estimate and the 112 MHz observed branch can be treated as the same physical frequency channel. Protocol A-Prime still tests the branch through the registered T_2 feature, with the 5-200 MHz tubulin-EPR Delta_ST/h band disclosed as the S0 systematic floor. This row is subordinate to the authoritative P.8 four-conjunct F1 gate; it is not a separate framework-level single-branch falsifier. | Protocol A-Prime (NV-center chiral sensor) + tubulin Trp EPR | Protocol A-Prime (NV-center chiral sensor) deployment window | ⚠ PROTECTED-SUBSPACE-REQUIRED |
| P.39 | V2 Ch14 §14.5 (boxed equation); Parameter Ledger chi row | Tier 2 | pred = 2.26547e+122 · obs = 2.27e+122 · [(dimensionless area ratio)] | 1.99 × 10³ | 50000 ppm | chi = pi (c/H_0 ell_P)^2 deviates from 2.27e122 by > 5% once H_0 is fixed via CODATA 2022 (67.4 km/s/Mpc) | n/a (standard de Sitter Bekenstein-Hawking identity; Tier 2 substance is the identification of S_ent with the critical susceptibility of the 6D->3D projection) | current | ✓ ALGEBRAIC |
| P.40 | V2 Ch14 §14.2.7 + §14.6.3; Parameter Ledger w(z)_bio row. The biogenic DE pipeline (protocol_imp01_pipeline.py + verify_imp01_pipeline.py) yields internally consistent CPL triple (z_cross, w_0, w_a) ~ (0.389, -1.0038, +0.0136); the operative V7' Class-2 envelope at z ~ 0.28 is |Delta w| in [2, 5]e-5. | Tier 3 (biogenic model, pipeline-validated; P_evolve first-principles derivation = narrowed Open Problem O.13) | pred = 0.38894 · obs = 0.389 · [(redshift z)] | 154 | operational (see Mechanism) | Stage-V / Roman Year-10 sub-5e-5 w(z) program finds no phantom-directed V7' Class-2 envelope at z in [0.05, 0.5]; OR pipeline-derived CPL triple disagrees with refit using a derived (not ansatz) P_evolve by > factor 2 in z_cross. DESI DR2 CPL central fit is sign-opposite to the GCT single-channel biogenic curve and is treated as O.13 closure path C1, not as direct support. | Roman Year-10 / Stage-V sub-5e-5 w(z) program; upstream theoretical: P_evolve first-principles derivation (O.13) | Long-horizon Stage-V / Roman Year-10 joint analysis window | ✓ ALGEBRAIC |
| P.43 | V2 Ch14 §14.5 + §14.6.3; App H §H.5 Open Problem O.13 (narrowed). Pipeline: GCT_Physics_Engine/src/protocol_imp01_pipeline.py. | Tier 3 (biogenic model, pipeline-validated) | pred = -1.00045 · obs = -1 · [(w(z=0.28))] | 454 | operational (see Mechanism) | Pipeline-derived (z_cross, w_0, w_a) inconsistent (cpl(a_cross) != -1 within 1e-3); OR sensitivity-sweep over physically-motivated P_evolve ranges produces z_cross outside [0.3, 0.5] at default | Closed-form pipeline + observational test via Roman + DESI Year-5 | Roman Year-5 + DESI Year-5 joint analysis window | ✓ ALGEBRAIC |
| P.43b | Ch14 §14.6.3 (multi-channel shape-proxy disclosure); App R §R.8 row 8. Pipeline: GCT_Physics_Engine/src/protocol_de_multichannel.py. | Tier 2 mechanism (multi-component EoS shape-proxy partition; Copeland-Sami-Tsujikawa 2006) + Tier 3 channel-fraction parametrizations + Tier 3 calibrated amplitudes | — | — | operational (see Mechanism) | Registered-menu no-go verdict: CLOSURE-FAILS for the five-channel shape-proxy menu (closure paths C1/C2/C3 of App H O.13 open). The 4032-point sensitivity sweep over (Omega_Lambda,0, f_ext, f_chiral, f_pert, z_chiral) returns best-fit diagonal diagnostic score ~4.861 against the DES-Dovekie recalibrated DESI DR2 + CMB CPL target (arXiv:2511.07517), flat to within 0.0446 score units across the swept Omega_Lambda,0 range; DESI covariance is not included, so this is diagnostic only and not a likelihood distance, physical multi-fluid background model, or closure threshold. DES-Dovekie reports (w_0, w_a) = (-0.803 +/- 0.054, -0.72 +/- 0.21) at joint significance 3.2sigma. Sweep envelope is pinned at w_0 in [-1.009, -0.991], w_a in [-0.012, +0.045]. Analytically, the convex-combination ceiling closes the remaining range including Omega_Lambda,0 -> 0 for this menu: every channel in the registered decomposition carries w_c <= -0.9, so w_total <= -0.9 for any choice of channel fractions. Closure requires a GCT-derivable dark-energy channel with quintessence-today behavior over z in [0, 1.5]; every dark-energy channel the framework currently supplies is phantom-directed. | Closed-form 4032-point sensitivity sweep; observational arbiter is DES-Dovekie-calibrated DESI + Euclid/Roman fingerprint arbitration | evaluated; observational arbitration via DESI DR2 + Euclid DR1 | ⚠ EVALUATED-CLOSURE-FAILURE |
| P.44 | V3 Ch13 §13.4.6; App X §X.12. Protected-subspace anti-Zeno sign test; bare Misra-Sudarshan crossover is ~9 GHz, so the registered branch peak (112 +/- 10 MHz if O.12 positive; 42 +/- 10 MHz if O.12 negative) and the 150 MHz control are inverse-Zeno unless O.23 lowers the effective Hamiltonian variance | Tier 2 qualitative sign pattern / Tier 3 protected-subspace mechanism value | pred = 9000 · obs = 112 · [MHz] | 79357.14 × 10³ | operational (see Mechanism) | Bare-vs-renormalized frequency channel: the engine PASS is protected by construction because the bare Misra-Sudarshan crossover is about 9 GHz while the registered 112 MHz / 42 MHz windows require O.23 protected-subspace lowering of the effective Hamiltonian variance. This row is therefore open-conditional on protected-subspace renormalization, not direct bare-frequency agreement. | Protocol A-Prime (§13.3.5) on NV-centre + chiral h-BN cap | Protocol A-Prime (NV-center chiral sensor) deployment window | ⚠ PROTECTED-SUBSPACE-REQUIRED |
| P.1d | V1 Ch13 §13.2.4 (Tier 2 Motivated Derivation). Bilayer 1/(2N) = 1/288 correction sharpens the bare 360 phi^-2 = 137.508 prediction to 137.030, reducing residual from 3442 ppm to 41.6 ppm. | Tier 2 (Motivated; full QLQCD-1L closure pending O.5) | pred = 137.03 · obs = 137.036 · [(dimensionless, α⁻¹)] | 42 | 100 ppm | alpha^-1 != 137.030 within 100 ppm (would falsify the bilayer correction); current 41.6 ppm residual is the QLQCD-1L research debt (App Z.5-Z.6 open program) | n/a (algebraic identity at tree-level + 1/(2N) correction; QLQCD-1L is the theoretical closure target) | Closes when QLQCD-1L lands | ○ OPEN-CONDITIONAL |
| P.45 | V3 Ch11 §11.1.3 (derivation); V3 Ch15 §15.x (usage); Parameter Ledger row 50 | Tier 2 (Derived from AKN tiling-flip condition) | pred = 0.0901699 · obs = 0.0902 | 333 | 10000 ppm | epsilon_y != phi^-5 within 1% (would falsify the AKN tiling-flip derivation) | n/a (algebraic identity from icosahedral cut-and-project) | current | ✓ ALGEBRAIC |
| P.46 | V3 Ch20 §20.2.2 (LIV time delay) + §20.2.3 (RM angular power) — LIV gate scope-restricted per Aggarwal 2021 detector-sensitivity review parallel; the predicted Delta_t ~ 2e-17 s at E=100 GeV is ~14 orders of magnitude below Fermi/LAT precision floor and is currently unfalsifiable on operational grounds. Tier 4 conditional on this scope-restriction parallel to App FM HFGW Tier 4 demotion. | Tier 2 mechanism (LIV via discrete vacuum) / Tier 4 operational (currently unfalsifiable — detector sensitivity ~10^14 orders short of predicted Delta_t) / Tier 3 RM coefficient (Geometric Heuristic, registered) | pred = 0.00017307 · obs = 0.000173 · [(RM coefficient cited)] | 406 | operational (see Mechanism) | GRB Delta_t > 1e-15 s at E~100 GeV would falsify the quadratic-only LIV claim — but current Fermi/LAT precision is ~1e-1 s, so this gate is currently UNFALSIFIABLE on operational grounds (parallel to HFGW scope-restriction in App FM §FM.X). The genuine Tier 2 LIV claim is the quadratic-only form (linear LIV forbidden by I_h center-inversion); empirical detection requires next-generation gamma-ray timing with ~10^14× current sensitivity. The RM angular-power Tier 3 sub-claim: SKA-era FRB catalog finds no l=6 RM power at phi^-18 amplitude in a > 5000-FRB catalog at > 3 sigma. | Fermi/LAT GRB (current upper bound 1e-1 s); CHIME/FRB + SKA | Fermi/LAT + CHIME/FRB + SKA observational window | ✓ ALGEBRAIC |
| P.47 | V1 Ch11 §11.12; V3 Ch07 §7.3.3; App Y §Y.6.3; App H O.18; App H O.32 | Tier 3 conditional (trefoil finite-level complement clarification + general-prime extension) | — | — | operational (see Mechanism) | Trefoil-case Polaron Unity is Tier 3 conditional pending O.18 fixed-slice reduction + finite-quotient meridian trace + represented-progroup direct-product/operator-factor closure. The general-prime extension remains Tier 3 conditional on O.18 Anderson-Putnam-to-knot-complement extension + canonicity of K -> A_K + finite-quotient meridian trace construction, plus O.35 trivial-amenable-radical, O.36 primary representation hypothesis, and O.32 KO-dimension sign verification. | n/a (operator-algebra trace identity; general-prime extension is an open mathematical closure target) | current trefoil case; long-horizon general-prime extension | ○ PENDING-VERIFIER |
| P.7c | V3 Ch21 §21.1.3 (peak-deviation form); App V P.7; Prediction-Postdiction Firewall §1A + R3 | Tier 2 harmonic-form mechanism + Tier 3 specific phi^-18 amplitude pending O.15(b) RG-map derivation | pred = 0.00017307 · obs = 0.00017307 · [(dimensionless angular correlation deviation)] | 0 | 50000 ppm | Peak l=6 angular correlation deviation ΔΓ_max != phi^-18 = 1.73e-4 within 5% in SKA-PTA matched-filter analysis | SKA-PTA matched-filter (SKA-era); NANOGrav 15yr sensitivity ~1e-3 is too coarse for direct 1.73e-4 resolution | 2030+ | ✓ CONSISTENT |
| P.7d | V3 Ch21 §21.1.3 (linear Legendre form); App V P.7 | Tier 2 linear-harmonic mechanism + Tier 3 specific phi^-18 amplitude pending O.15(b) RG-map derivation | pred = 0.000167297 · obs = 0.000167 · [(dimensionless Legendre coefficient)] | 1.78 × 10³ | 50000 ppm | Linear Legendre projection coefficient |C_hat_6| != 1.67e-4 within 5% in SKA-PTA matched-filter; or |C_hat_6| < 1e-4 at >3 sigma combined NANOGrav 15yr + PPTA DR3 + EPTA DR2 | SKA-PTA matched-filter (SKA-era); NANOGrav 15yr + PPTA DR3 + EPTA DR2 combined (current) | Current (NANOGrav combined); 2030+ (SKA direct) | ✓ ALGEBRAIC |
| P.7e | V3 Ch21 §21.1.3 (squared angular-power-ratio form); App V P.7 | Tier 2 angular-power mechanism + Tier 3 specific phi^-36 amplitude pending O.15(b) RG-map derivation | pred = 2.89542e-08 · obs = 2.92e-08 · [(dimensionless C_l ratio)] | 8.42 × 10³ | operational (see Mechanism) | Squared angular-power-spectrum ratio C_6/C_0 != phi^-36 = 2.90e-8 within factor 2; or SKA-PTA (SKA-era) finds C_6/C_0 < 1e-9 at >3 sigma | SKA-PTA matched-filter (SKA-era); NANOGrav 15yr sensitivity insufficient for C_6/C_0 ~ 1e-8 | 2030+ | ✓ CONSISTENT |
| P.7f | V3 Ch21 §21.8 (kSZ velocity cross-power form); App V P.7 (kSZ companion) | Tier 2 kSZ harmonic-form mechanism + Tier 3 specific phi^-18 amplitude pending O.15(b) RG-map derivation | — | — | qualitative | kSZ velocity cross-power C_6^kSZ / C_0^kSZ != phi^-18 = 1.73e-4 within factor 2 in CMB-S4 + Simons Observatory matched-filter combination against DESI / Euclid galaxy catalog peculiar-velocity reconstruction | CMB-S4 + Simons Observatory + DESI/Euclid joint kSZ matched-filter (SKA-era) | 2030+ | ○ PENDING-VERIFIER |
| P.7g | V3 Ch21 §21.6 (FRB-SDSS scalar power form); App V P.7 (FRB-DM companion) | Tier 3 geometric heuristic; FRB-SDSS scalar power is an l=6 dispersion-measure proxy and inherits the phi^-18 amplitude pending O.15(b) | — | — | operational (see Mechanism) | FRB dispersion-measure scalar power on l=6 spherical harmonic in joint CHIME/FRB + SKA-era catalog ( > 5000 events) fails to detect anisotropy at amplitude consistent with phi^-18 at >3 sigma | CHIME/FRB + SKA FRB catalog l=6 DM angular power | CHIME/FRB + SKA FRB-catalog observational window | ○ PENDING-VERIFIER |
| C.IIT | V1 Ch17 §17.5.1; claim_registry C_IIT_PHI_SELECTED_SUBGRAPH_WITNESS; App H O.28 | Tier 2 mechanism + Tier 3 sub-graph values; full k=12 Phi_max pending O.28 | — | — | qualitative | Tier 2 mechanism + Tier 3 sub-graph values: max_k Phi(k <= 5) = 1.124900 > 0 on canonical induced sub-graphs of the icosahedron under the noisy majority-vote TPM. These sub-graph values DO NOT extend to a global Phi_max(k=12) > 0 bound under the IIT Exclusion Postulate; the full k=12 numerical computation is the residual of Open Problem O.28. Numerical values are PyPhi-environment-pinned and should be compared only under the registered PyPhi configuration. | PyPhi 1.2.0 IIT 3.0 sub-network computation; full k=12 HPC / IIT 4.0 recomputation pending | O.28 closure target | ○ OPEN-RESEARCH |
| P.41 | V3 Ch04 §4.5.5; App T tier audit row; App ZN §ZN.5; App TP §TP.3 | Tier 3 calibrated handle (10 integer + phi^2 geometric factor); closure pending O.42 / QLQCD-2 | pred = 26.1803 · obs = 26.18 | 13 | 1000 ppm | Tier 3 calibrated handle: alpha_s^-1(bare) = 10 phi^2 = 26.18 combines a geometric integer and geometric factor, but the strong-sector boundary is pending O.42 / QLQCD-2 derivation. The bare->PDG gap is documented open problem, not current support. | n/a (algebraic identity at bare scale) | current | ✓ ALGEBRAIC |
| P.42 | App ZN §ZN.2.1; Tier 1 substrate ingredient | Tier 1 (algebraic identity from phi minimal polynomial) | pred = 0.381966 · obs = 0.381966 | 0 | 1 ppm | |E_perp|^2 / |E_para|^2 != phi^-2 (would falsify the H_4/H_3 cut-and-project construction itself) | n/a (algebraic identity at machine precision) | n/a | ✓ ALGEBRAIC |
| S.ckm_unitarity_3x3 | App R §R.4; V3 Ch10; scorecard claim ckm_unitarity_3x3 | Tier 1 (algebraic identity) | pred = 0 · obs = 0 · [dimensionless] | — | qualitative | Tier 1 algebraic identity; no falsification band applies — the claim is provable from definitions and trivially fails iff the hypercharge assignments / unitarity constraints are modified. | n/a (exact-by-construction unitarity verified to machine precision in verify_mixing_unitarity.py::ckm_unitarity_3x3; element-level mismatch against PDG central values remains O.7 scope) | n/a (algebraic) | ✓ ALGEBRAIC |
| S.hypercharges_and_anomaly_cancellation | App R §R.2.2; V3 Ch04; scorecard claim hypercharges_and_anomaly_cancellation | Tier 1 (algebraic identity given the GCT hypercharge assignment; Tier 2 for the underlying assignment Y_R = 2Q) | pred = 8.88178e-16 · obs = 0 · [(L_inf residual across right-handed identity + four anomaly traces)] | — | qualitative | Tier 1 algebraic identity; no falsification band applies — the claim is provable from definitions and trivially fails iff the hypercharge assignments / unitarity constraints are modified. | n/a (algebraic identity verified to machine precision in verify_hypercharges.py::hypercharges_and_anomaly_cancellation) | n/a (algebraic) | ✓ ALGEBRAIC |
| S.pmns_unitarity_3x3 | App R §R.4; V3 Ch09; scorecard claim pmns_unitarity_3x3 | Tier 1 (algebraic identity for the unitarity check; Tier 3 disposition on theta_23 tension is tracked separately) | pred = 0 · obs = 0 · [dimensionless] | — | qualitative | Tier 1 algebraic identity; no falsification band applies — the claim is provable from definitions and trivially fails iff the hypercharge assignments / unitarity constraints are modified. | n/a (algebraic identity verified to machine precision in verify_mixing_unitarity.py::pmns_unitarity_3x3) | n/a (algebraic) | ✓ ALGEBRAIC |
FM.5 Cross-references
- App V — Prediction Registry (the user-facing P.X registration of pre-registered predictions; this matrix is its machine-readable companion).
- App R — Precision Scorecard (the engine-output precision report; this
matrix consumes its
scorecard.jsonartefact). - App TP — Tier Promotion Roadmap (the candidates that, if closed, would change the Tier column of one or more rows in this matrix).
- Ch22 §22.1 — Binary Gates (the four near-term falsification events that anchor the experimental programme).